|
|
 |
 |
|
|
|
|
| 0601 |
|
A Simple Test of Adverse Events and Strategic Timing Theories of Consumer Bankruptcy
|
Li Gan
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
Tarun Sabarwal
Department of Economics
Washington University in St. Louis
|
|
A test of adverse events and strategic timing theories can be conducted by determining
whether some relevant financial decision variables, such as financial benefit from
filing for bankruptcy, or debt discharged in bankruptcy are endogenous with the
bankruptcy decision or not. For the strategic timing theory such decisions are endogenous,
while for the adverse events theory they are not. Hausman tests for endogeneity
show that financial benefit, unsecured debt, and non-exempt assets are exogenous
with the bankruptcy decision, consistent with the adverse events theory.
|
|
Click 0601 to view the paper in pdf format.
|
|
Go to Top
|
|
|
| 0602 |
|
Should We Teach an Old Economy Dog New Economy Tricks? The Role of a Postal Service in the New Economy
|
Michael D. Bradley
Department of Economics
George Washington University
Dennis W. Jansen
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
|
|
Published in The New Economy and Beyond: Past, Present, and Future, 2006
|
|
Go to Top
|
|
|
| 0603 |
|
Concentration in the Major Business Journals: Evidence and Consequences for
Accounting, Finance, Management, and Marketing
|
Edward P. Swanson
Department of Accounting
Texas A&M University
Christopher J. Wolfe
Department of Accounting
Texas A&M University
Asghar Zardkoohi
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Management
Texas A&M University
|
We first investigate how articles are distributed among universities in a set of
14 highly ranked academic business journals from accounting, finance, management,
and marketing over the period 1990-2002. We find that concentration ratios are highest
in accounting and finance. Much of the higher concentration occurs in privately
sponsored journals, where faculty at private (public) schools publish a relatively
high (low) portion of the articles.
Next, we investigate how articles are distributed among individuals. We find that
substantially fewer accounting faculty publish in a major journal, but the average
number of articles by faculty who publish at least once exceeds that of finance,
management or marketing. Further, we discover that successful accounting publishers
are more likely to be affiliated with highly ranked research universities and private
universities than are their business school colleagues. Finally, we examine if economic
consequences arise from this concentration and find evidence of reduced promotion
and merit pay for accounting full professors.
|
|
Published in Contemporary Accounting Research, 2007
|
|
Go to Top
|
|
|
| 0604 |
|
Testing The Significance Of Categorical Predictor Variables In Nonparametric Regression Models
|
Jeff Racine
Department of Economics
McMaster University
Jeffrey Hart
Department of Statistics
Texas A&M University
Qi Li
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
|
|
In this paper we propose a test for the significance of categorical predictors in
nonparametric regression models. The test is fully data-driven and employs cross-validated
smoothing parameter selection while the null distribution of the test is obtained
via bootstrapping. The proposed approach allows applied researchers to test hypotheses
concerning categorical variables in a fully nonparametric and robust framework,
thereby deflecting potential criticism that a particular finding is driven by an
arbitrary parametric specification. Simulations reveal that the test performs well,
having significantly better power than a conventional frequency-based nonparametric
test. The test is applied to determine whether OECD and non-OECD countries follow
the same growth rate model or not. Our test suggests that OECD and non-OECD countries
follow different growth rate models, while the tests based on a popular parametric
specification and the conventional frequency-based nonparametric estimation method
fail to detect any significant difference.
|
|
Published in Econometric Reviews, 2006
|
|
Go to Top
|
|
|
| 0605 |
|
A Dual Measure of Correlation between the Solow Residual and Output Growth
|
Li Gan
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
Dandan Liu
Department of Economics
Bowling Green State University
Qi Li
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
|
|
In this paper, we measure U.S. technology shocks by implementing a dual approach,
which is based on more reliable price data instead of aggregate quantity data. By
doing so, we find the relative volatility of technology shocks and the correlation
between output fluctuation and technology shocks to be much smaller than those revealed
in most real business-cycle (RBC) studies. Our results support the findings of Burnside,
Eichenbaum and Rebelo (1996), who showed that the correlation between technology
shocks and output is exaggerated in the RBC literature. This suggests that one should
examine other sources of fluctuations for a better understanding of the business
cycle phenomena.
|
|
Click 0605 to view the paper in pdf format.
|
|
Go to Top
|
|
|
| 0606 |
|
A Formal Theory of Reference Group for Well-being Studies: A Solution to the Happiness-Income Puzzle
|
Guoqiang Tian
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
Liyan Yang
Department of Economics
Cornell University
|
|
This paper studies the happiness-income paradox: average happiness levels do not increase as countries grow wealthier. We do so by giving a formal and rigorous economic
theory of reference group/aspiriation for happiness studies from the perspective
of social happiness maximization. We show that, up to a critical income level, which
is positively related to non-material status, increasing income enhances happiness.
Once the critical income level is achieved, increasing income cannot increase social
happiness and in fact, somewhat surprising, social happiness actually decreases,
resulting in Pareto inefficient outcomes. A policy implication of our model is that
government should increase public expenses on promoting non-material wants such
as mental status, family life, health, basic human rights, etc. when national income
becomes large.
|
|
Click 0606 to view the paper in pdf format.
|
|
Go to Top
|
|
|
| 0607 |
|
Theory of Negative Consumption Externalities with Applications to Economics of Happiness
|
Guoqiang Tian
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
Liyan Yang
Department of Economics
Cornell University
|
|
This paper investigates the problem of achieving Pareto efficient allocations in
the presence of negative consumption externalities. In contrast to the conventional
wisdom, we show that, even if consumers' preferences are monotonically increasing
in their own consumption, one may have to destroy resources to achieve Pareto efficient
allocations when there are negative consumption externalities. As such, there is
no way to allocate resources efficiently without destroying resources, even under
complete information and zero transaction costs. We provide characterization results
on the destruction of resources for pure exchange economies with negative consumption
externalities, and we obtain similar results for more general production economies
with consumption and production externalities. As an application of our results,
we provide a formal foundation for reference group theory which has been used to
study economics of happiness. Our results provide an explanation to Easterlin's
paradox: average happiness levels do not increase as countries grow wealthier.
|
|
Forthcoming in Economic Theory, 2008
|
|
Go to Top
|
|
|
| 0608 |
|
Estimating Interdependence between Health and Education in a Dynamic Model
|
Li Gan
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
Guan Gong
School of Economics
Shanghai University of Finance and Economics
|
|
This paper investigates to what extent and through which channels that health and
educational attainment are interdependent. A dynamic model of schooling, work, health
expenditure, and savings is developed. The structural framework explicitly models
two existing hypotheses on the correlation between health and education. The estimation
results strongly support the interdependence between health and education. In particular,
the estimated model indicates that an individual's education, health expenditure,
and previous health status all affect his health status. Moreover, the individual's
health status affects his mortality rate, wage, home production, and academic success.
On average, having been sick before age 21 decreases the individual's education
by 1.4 years. Policy experiments indicate that a health expenditure subsidy would
have a larger impact on educational attainment than a tuition subsidy.
|
|
Click 0608 to view the paper in pdf format.
|
|
Go to Top
|
|
|
| 0609 |
|
Efficiency and Performance in Texas Public Schools
|
Timothy J. Gronberg
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
Dennis W. Jansen
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
George S. Naufal
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
|
|
Do high ratings based upon traditional performance measures go hand in hand with
efficiency? This paper addresses this question using stochastic production frontier
methods. We utilize a six-year panel of test score, school input, and school student
characteristics data for a sample of 3,000 campuses in Texas. We generate estimates
of school-specific efficiency based upon the estimates of the one-sided school specific
error term in a stochastic production frontier model. School rankings on the basis
of estimated efficiency are not well correlated with school rankings on the basis
of traditional measures of school performance.
|
|
Published in Improving School Accountability: Checkups or Choice, volume 14 in the
Advances in Applied Microeconomics series, 2006
|
|
Go to Top
|
|
|
| 0610 |
|
A Note on Cointegration of Health Expenditure and Income
|
Zijun Wang
Private Enterprise Research Center
Texas A&M University
Andrew J. Rettenmaier
Private Enterprise Research Center
Texas A&M University
|
|
Utilizing a panel data set of 50 U.S. states, this note investigates nonstationarity
and cointegration of health care expenditures and gross state products (GSP). Both
the individual state-based method and the recent panel data method are applied.
Allowing for structural breaks in the test, we find that health care expenditures
and GSP are both nonstationary. The evidence also suggests that the two series form
a cointegrating relationship. The income elasticities of health spending vary over
states and became smaller in the 1990s.
|
|
Published in Health Economics, 2007
|
|
Go to Top
|
|
|
| 0611 |
|
Does Seeing Deeper into a Game Increase One's Chances of Winning?
|
Carl Nicholas McKinney, Jr.
Department of Economics and Business Administration
Rhodes College
John Van Huyck, Rex Grey Professor
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
|
|
The substantively rational value of the games studied in this paper does not help
predict subject performance in the experiment at all. An accurate model must account
for the cognitive ability of the people playing the game. This paper investigates
whether the variation in measured rationality bounds is correlated with the probability
of winning when playing against another person in games that exceed both players'
estimated rationality bound. Does seeing deeper into a game matter when neither
player can see to the end of the game? Subjects with higher measured bounds win
63 percent of the time and the larger the difference the more frequently they win.
|
|
Published in Experimental Economics, 2006
|
|
Go to Top
|
|
|
| 0612 |
|
Longevity Bias in Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
|
Liqun Liu
Private Enterprise Research Center
Texas A&M University
Andrew J. Rettenmaier
Private Enterprise Research Center
Texas A&M University
Thomas R. Saving
Private Enterprise Research Center
Texas A&M University
|
|
We use a simple lifetime utility maximization model to study the problem of medical
resource allocation. This model leads to a welfare specification with a QALY (quality-adjusted
life-year) component that captures an individual's preferences over both life expectancy
and health status. The goal of medical cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) is characterized
as maximizing the QALY measure for a given total medical expenditure. We show that
the CEA with such a goal has a longevity bias: the CEA-based division of a given
total medical expenditure between extending life and improving health gives the
former a larger share than is called for by welfare maximization.
|
|
Published in Health Economics, 2008
|
|
Go to Top
|
|
|
| 0613 |
|
Spillover of Cause-Specific Longevity Interventions: An Independent Mortality Risk Model
|
Liqun Liu
Private Enterprise Research Center
Texas A&M University
|
|
As an alternative
to the competing mortality risk model, this paper presents an "independent mortality
risk model" in which the complementality among various longevity investments is
less obvious. In studying spillover effects of cause-specific longevity interventions,
it distinguishes between two types of such interventions: cause-specific price reductions
and cause-specific direct provisions. It finds that a cause-specific direct provision
always has a positive spillover effect on longevity investments for other causes,
but a cause-specific price reduction may have a negative spillover effect due to
a substitution effect.
|
|
Published in The European Journal of Health Economics, 2008
|
|
Go to Top
|
|
|
| 0614 |
|
Stock Market Risk and Dollarization in Ecuador
|
Dennis W. Jansen
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
Maria Caridad Ortiz
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
|
|
We study the impact of dollarization and related economic liberalization of Ecuador
in January 2000 on the distribution of stock returns in Ecuador. While the mean
dollar return of investing in Ecuadorian stocks changed from large and negative
to large and positive, traditional measures of volatility such as the standard deviation
of returns actually increased after dollarization. However, focusing on the tails
of the distribution and extreme events, we find that the tail thickness of the distribution
of Ecuador stock returns increased for positive returns but decreased for negative
returns. Thus, while the standard deviation may have increased, it is because of
a greater probability of large positive returns. The probability of large negative
returns decreased, as expected, post dollarization. Value at Risk estimates
illustrates this phenomenon.
|
|
Published in Applied Financial Economics Letters, 2007
|
|
Go to Top
|
|
|
| 0615 |
|
Relationship Banking and Escalation of Commitment: An Empirical Examination
|
Donald Fraser
Department of Finance
Texas A&M University
Eugene Kang
Nanyang Business School
Singapore
Ramona L. Paetzold
Department of Management
Texas A&M University
Asghar Zardkoohi
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Management
Texas A&M University
|
|
Escalation of commitment, or the decision to assign additional resources to a failing
course of action, has been demonstrated to be a problem for banks generally. This
phenomenon has been attributed to self-justification strategies by loan officers.
We posit that escalation of commitment may also be a problem for a certain subset
of banks because of the type of strategy they use in acquiring and maintaining loan
customers. This strategy is commonly referred to as relationship banking. When smaller
banks attempt to build strong relationships with their customers, they may inadvertently
also increase their risk of engaging in escalation of commitment to bad loans. An
empirical test of this hypothesis reveals that, for banks engaged in relationship
banking, developing stronger relationships with loan customers is indeed associated
with increased levels of escalation of commitment.
|
|
Click 0615 to view the paper in pdf format.
|
|
Go to Top
|
|
|
| 0616 |
|
Should Oil Prices Receive So Much Attention? An
Evaluation of the Predictive Power of Oil Prices for
the US Economy
|
Lance J. Bachmeier
Department of Economics
Kansas State University
Qi Li
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
Dandan Liu
Department of Economics
Bowling Green State University
|
|
This paper evaluates the potential gains from using oil prices to forecast a variety
of measures of inflation, economic activity, and monetary policy-related variables.
With a few exceptions, oil prices do not have any predictive content for these variables.
This finding is robust to the use of rolling forecast windows, the use of industry-level
data, changes in the forecast horizon, and allowing for nonlinearities. |
|
Forthcoming in Economic Inquiry, 2008
|
|
Go to Top
|
|
|
| 0617 |
|
The Cost to Firms of Cooking the Books
|
Jonathan M. Karpoff
Department of Finance
University of Washington
D. Scott Lee
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Finance
Texas A&M University
Gerald S. Martin
Department of Finance
Texas A&M University
|
|
We examine the penalties imposed on all 585 firms that were targeted by SEC enforcement
actions for financial misrepresentation from 1978 - 2002, which we track through
November 15, 2005. The penalties imposed on firms through the legal system appear
to be small, as the unconditional mean total of all legal penalties is only $23.5
million per firm. The penalties imposed by the market, in contrast, are huge. Our
point estimate of the reputational penalty, which we define as the expected loss
in the present value of future cash flows due to lower sales and higher contracting
costs, is over 7.5 times the sum of all penalties imposed through the legal and
regulatory system. For each dollar that a firm misleadingly inflates its market
value, on average, it loses this dollar when its misconduct is revealed, plus an
additional $3.08. Of this additional loss, $0.36 is due to expected legal penalties
and $2.71 is due to lost reputation. In firms that survive the enforcement process,
lost reputation is even greater at $3.83. In the cross-section, the reputational
penalty is positively related to measures of the firm's reliance on implicit contracts
and repeat contracting. This evidence belies a widespread belief that financial
misrepresentation is disciplined lightly. To the contrary, reputation losses impose
substantial penalties for cooking the books.
|
|
Forthcoming in Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 2008
|
|
Go to Top
|
|
|
| 0618 |
|
The Legal Penalties for Financial Misrepresentation
|
Jonathan M. Karpoff
Department of Finance
University of Washington
D. Scott Lee
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Finance
Texas A&M University
Gerald S. Martin
Department of Finance
Texas A&M University
|
|
This paper provides the first integrated analysis of the complex mix of private
and regulatory penalties for financial misrepresentation. We examine the sizes,
types, and determinants of legal penalties imposed for all 697 enforcement actions
initiated by the Securities and Exchange Commission for financial misrepresentation
from 1978 through 2004. These penalties include private class action awards, monetary
penalties imposed by the SEC and Department of Justice, and such non-monetary sanctions
as censures, trading suspensions, and jail time. Contrary to many criticisms of
private lawsuits and regulatory actions, we find that legal penalties are highly
systematic, and in particular, are positively related to the size and severity of
the harm from the misconduct. The data also indicate some support for deep pockets
effects, as both private and regulatory monetary penalties are related to defendants'
abilities to pay. A recent increase in regulatory penalties has coincided with a
decrease in private monetary penalties, suggesting that regulatory penalties can
crowd out the use of private penalties.
|
|
Click 0618 to view the paper in pdf format.
|
|
Go to Top
|
|
|
| 0619 |
|
The Potential for Expropriation through Joint Ventures
|
Spencer A. Case
McCoy College of Business Administration
Texas State University
D. Scott Lee
Private Enterprise Research Center
Mays Business School
Texas A&M University
John D. Martin
Hankamer School of Business
Baylor University
|
|
We examine the potential expropriation of a firm's intellectual capital that results
from joint venture agreements when a firm's joint venture partner becomes the target
of an acquisition attempt. We find that: (1) non-targeted joint venture partners
often suffer losses in value upon the announcement of the acquisition; (2) the magnitude
of the loss increases with the R&D intensity of the non-targeted joint venture
partner; and (3) average bidder returns are less negative for acquirers if the affected
joint venture partners report R&D spending and are in the same line of business
as the acquirer. Our estimate of the average loss is $843 million per firm, roughly
3% of the non-targeted firm's pre-announcement equity value. Our evidence suggests
a previously unrecognized merger motive in that joint ventures expose a firm's intellectual
capital to the risk of expropriation.
|
|
Published in Review of Financial Economics, 2007
|
|
Go to Top
|
|
|
| 0620 |
|
Evidence on Asymmetric Gasoline Price Responses from Error Correction Models with GARCH Errors
|
Jingping Gu
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
Dennis W. Jansen
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
|
|
This paper examines the possible asymmetric response of gasoline prices to crude
oil price changes using an error correction model with exponential GARCH errors.
Recent papers have looked at this issue, including Borenstein, Cameron and Gilbert
(1997), who find asymmetry in the response of retail gasoline prices to crude oil
price changes, and Bachmeier and Griffin (2003), who find no evidence of asymmetry
in the response of wholesale gasoline prices to crude oil price changes. These papers
both estimate a form of error correction model, but neither accounts for autoregressive
heteroskedasticity in estimation and testing for asymmetry. We find that time-varying
volatility of gasoline price disturbances is an important feature of the data, and
when we allow for exponential GARCH errors we find evidence of asymmetric adjustment
to crude oil price changes in both daily wholesale gasoline prices and weekly retail
gasoline prices.
|
|
Click 0620 to view the paper in pdf format.
|
|
Go to Top
|
|
|
| 0621 |
|
Outliers and Nonlinearity in Modeling Industrial Production for G-7 Countries
|
Dennis W. Jansen
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
Wankeun Oh
Department of Economics
Hankuk University of Foreign Studies
|
|
We investigate the relationship between outliers and nonlinearity when modeling
industrial production among the G-7 countries. It is well known that industrial
production appears to exhibit nonlinearity. It may be less well known that the industrial
production series contain many outliers, at least as judged by the standard outlier
detection methods. We find that it is important to consider both outliers and nonlinearity,
but of the two it seems most important to consider outliers. For all seven countries
we find significant and important outliers, but for only some are nonlinearities
important, especially after considering outliers.
|
|
Click 0621 to view the paper in pdf format.
|
|
Go to Top
|
|
|
 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|