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| 0301 |
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Willingness to Pay for Risk Reduction and the Initial Level of Risk and Wealth: An Equilibrium Analysis
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Liqun Liu
Private Enterprise Research Center
Texas A&M University
William Nielson
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
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The existing literature holds that the willingness to pay (WTP) for mortality
risk reduction increases with the initial risk because of a "dead-anyway" effect,
that is, a higher initial risk leads to a lower expected marginal utility of wealth.
However, individuals are often able to undertake costly actions on their own that
reduce the fatality probability, allowing for a "high-payment" effect in which
wealth becomes more valuable as part of it is diverted to fighting fatality risk.
The high-payment effect outweighs the dead anyway effect, and the WTP for risk
reduction decreases with the initial risk. The existing result that the WTP for
risk reduction increases with initial wealth still holds.
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Published in European Economic Review, 2006
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| 0302 |
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A Generalized Design for Bilateral Trade Flow Models
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Badi H. Baltagi
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
Peter Egger
Department of Economic Theory, Economic Policy and Economic History
University of Innsbruck
Michael Pfaffermayr
Department of Economic Theory, Economic Policy and Economic History
University of Innsbruck
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This paper suggests a full interaction effects design to analyze bilateral trade
flows. This is illustrated with an unbalanced panel of bilateral trade between the
triad (EU15, USA, and Japan) economies and their 57 most important trading partners
over the period 1986-1997. Our full interaction model finds empirical support for
the New Trade Theory and Linders hypothesis. We show that the omission of one or
more interaction effects can result in biased estimates and misleading inference.
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Published in Economics Letters, September 2003
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| 0303 |
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Incentive Pay for Other-Regarding Workers
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William S. Neilson
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
Jill Stowe
The Fuqua School of Business
Duke University
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When workers are paid with piece rates, inequality arises naturally. We consider
workers who care about income comparisons and are either status-seeking or inequality
averse. We identify circumstances under which inequality attitudes lead workers
to exert more effort than they would otherwise, and also circumstances under which
workers' inequality attitudes lead firms to set lower piece rates than they would
otherwise. The key behavioral assumption for both of these results to hold when
workers are identical is behindness aversion, the property that changes in inequality
matter more to the worker when he is behind than when he is ahead.
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Click 0303 to view the paper in pdf format.
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| 0304 |
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The Case for Regulatory Rent-Seeking: CRA Based Protests of Bank Mergers and Acquisitions
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Marshall Gramm
Department of Economics and Business Administration
Rhodes College
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| This paper addresses the question of regulatory rent seeking based on protests of
proposed bank mergers and acquisitions submitted by community groups to bank regulators.
Theories of CRA-related community group behavior based on benevolence and rent seeking,
yield significantly different implications concerning the effect of a bank's CRA
rating on protest probability, allowing for a clear test of the underlying motive
for protest activity. The analysis shows: (1) protests impose significant time cost
on merger and acquisition applications and (2) the benevolent-based theory must
be rejected in favor of the rent-seeking theory. |
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Click 0304 to view the paper in pdf format.
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| 0305 |
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The Effect of Monetary Policy on Bank Lending and Aggregate Output: Asymmetries from Nonlinearities in the Lending Channel
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Dennis W. Jansen
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
Jui-chuan (Della) Chang
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
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The main purpose of the paper is to explore whether bank-lending behavior can provide a convincing explanation for the asymmetric effect of monetary policy on output.
We investigate whether contractionary and expansionary policies have asymmetric
impacts on bank loans, and whether there are further differences in the response
of small banks and big banks to policy actions. We also investigate the link between
changes in bank lending and aggregate economic activity. To emphasize differences
in banks' asset size as indicators of balance-sheet strength, we aggregate the Call
Reports data over the period 1976Q1-1999Q3. Our goal is to simultaneously capture
the existence of the "lending view" of the monetary transmission mechanism, the
strong relationship between loan growth and output growth, and the asymmetric effect
of monetary policy on output. We use a nonlinear vector autoregressive approach
to carry out our analysis. Our results show that asymmetry in the response of bank
lending to monetary policy is not a substantially contributing factor in explaining
the different responses of output to contractionary and expansionary policy.
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Published in the Annals of Economics and Finance, 2005
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| 0306 |
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The Free Silver Movement In America: A Reinterpretation
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Marshall Gramm
Department of Economics and Business Administration
Rhodes College
Phil Gramm
UBS Investment Bank
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| This paper analyzes the Free Silver Period of American history under circumstances
where there are differential returns on nominal units of money in reducing the cost
of exchange. The result is an optimum denominational structure of the money stock.
We then apply the theory to data from the period and show that during the Free Silver
period the country suffered from an acute shortage of small denominations of hand-to-hand
money, which raised the costs of exchange and produced hardship, especially in the
South and the West. Within the context of an optimally denominated money stock,
the Free Silver movement is seen as an effort to eliminate a shortage of subsidiary
coins rather than to increase the aggregate money supply. Since this shortage affected
debtors and creditors alike, it is not surprising that cheap money policies in the
areas of money shortage obtained widespread popular support. Not only does the existing
data suggest such an explanation, but the proponents of cheap money stated it continuously,
and the legal structure of coinage laws of the 1880s and 1890s could hardly have
produced any other result. Our work suggests a new and more logically appealing
explanation of the Cheap Money movement in America. |
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Published in The Journal of Economic History, 2004
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| 0307 |
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Climbing The Economic Ladder
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Andrew J. Rettenmaier
Private Enterprise Research Center
Texas A&M University
Donald R. Deere
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
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Over the past 25 years, the distribution of wages in the U.S. economy has become
more unequal. Does this mean we are moving toward a society of "haves" and "have
nots"? There is considerable economic mobility in America, as large numbers of people
move up and down the economic ladder in relatively short periods of time. One way
to think about mobility is to array wage earners into fifths, ranging from the lowest
income quintile to the highest quintile. Mobility is then measured by the movement
among the quintiles over time. After one year, about one-third of the workers who
were in the bottom income quintile move to a higher quintile; and about one-quarter
who were in the top quintile move to a lower one. Of those who were originally in
the intermediate three quintiles, about half move to another quintile. There is
even more movement over longer periods. We were able to compare the wages of workers
of the same age over a 15 year time period: The percent of workers who remained
in the same quintile after one year was 60%. The percent remaining in the same quintile
fell to 43% after five years, to 33% after 10 years, and to 29% after 15 years.
Another way to think about mobility is to compare the economic position of parents
with their children and grandchildren. Only 31 percent of children are in the same
income quintile as their parents. To put this in perspective, 20 percent would be
the same just by random chance. Furthermore, income differences between high and
low income earners tend to be eliminated by the third generation, on the average.
The primary reason for rising inequality of wage income is the higher wage premium
paid to those with skills. But this is good news for those concerned about equality
of opportunity. One of the most important factors allowing people to escape the
lowest income quintile is the acquisition of education and job skills. Moreover,
on-the-job-training tends to naturally make workers more valuable over the course
of a work life. White male workers tend to be at the 20th percentile in the overall
white men's wage distribution at age 21. This means that only 20% of workers earn
less than they do and 80% earn more. However, after 10 years of job experience (when
the 21 year-olds become 31), they reach the 50th percentile - earning the average
wage for all white male workers. Between 31 and 59 years of age they average near
the 60th percentile - earning more than 60% of all workers at that point. As these
workers near retirement, however they fall back to the average wage again. One of
the important lessons of this study is the importance of taking advantage of educational
opportunities. Education can overcome differences in parental income, increases
the likelihood of escaping low income and maintaining high income, and is a determinant
of one's progress through the earnings distribution during one's lifetime.
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Click 0307 to view the paper in pdf format.
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| 0308 |
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Investigation of Patterns in Food-Away-from-Home Expenditure for China
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Qi Li
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
Cheng Fang
FAO United Nations
Insik Min
Department of Economics
Kyung Hee University
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Using China's urban household-level survey data from 1992 and 1998, we study household
food-away-from-home (FAFH) expenditure across the two time periods and across regions.
We use a popular parametric linear specification and a newly developed nonparametric
estimation method (with mixed categorical and continuous variables) to estimate
the FAFH expenditure function. The nonparametric model shows that the income elasticities
have increased from 1992 to 1998, while the parametric model suggests the contrary.
The goodness-of-fit analysis, a model specification test, and in-sample analysis
all suggest that the nonparametric method gives better description of the data than
the parametric approach. The nonparametric estimation results also reveal other
interesting FAFH consumption patterns which are not detected by the parametric method.
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Published in China Economic Review, 2004
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| 0309 |
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Implementation in Production Economies with Increasing Returns
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Guoqiang Tian
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
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| In this paper, we investigate incentive
aspects of a general price-setting equilibrium principle in production
economies with increasing returns or more general types of non-convexities.
We do so by introducing the notion of generalized mechanism. We allow
preferences and individual endowments to be unknown to the planner. We
present a simple generalized mechanism whose social equilibrium allocations
coincide with pricing equilibrium allocations. The pricing equilibrium
solutions are very general and include marginal pricing equilibrium, loss-free
pricing equilibrium, average pricing equilibrium, and voluntary trading
equilibrium as special cases. When a pricing equilibrium principle yields
Pareto efficient allocations, the mechanism doubly implements the pricing
equilibrium correspondence in social and strong social equilibria. Furthermore,
the mechanisms work not only for three or more agents, but also for two-agent economies.
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Published in Mathematical Social Sciences, 2005
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| 0310 |
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Generalized Mechanism and Implementation in Economies with
Non-Convex Production Technologies Unknown to the Designer
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Guoqiang Tian
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
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In this paper, we study the problem of the incentive mechanism design for non-convex
production economies by introducing the notion of generalized mechanism in which
one agent's feasible message domain may depend on the other agents' messages. We
consider implementation of various most often considered price equilibrium principles
by using well-behaved and simple mechanisms. We allow that production sets, preferences
and individual endowments are all unknown to the planner. We present generalized
mechanisms that fully implement loss-free, average cost, marginal cost, voluntary
trading, and quantity-taking pricing equilibrium allocations in social equilibrium.
These mechanisms are elementary and natural mechanisms, which have many nice properties
such as feasibility, continuity, forthrightness, and best response. In addition,
they use finite-dimensional message spaces which are lower than the existing mechanisms
that implement Walrasian allocations for convex production economies with more than
two agents. Furthermore, the mechanisms work not only for three or more agents,
but also for two-agent economies.
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Click 0310 to view the paper in pdf format.
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| 0311 |
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Reputation and Optimal Contract for Central Bankers: A Unified Approach
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Guoqiang Tian
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
Jingyuan Li
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
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This paper studies the time inconsistency problem on monetary policy for central
banks using a unified approach that combines reputation forces and contracts. We
first characterize the conditions for reputation forces to eliminate the inflation
bias of discretionary policy. We then propose an optimal contract that can be used
with reputation forces to implement a desired socially optimal monetary policy rule
when the reputation forces alone are not large enough to discourage a central bank
to use a surprise inflation policy. In contrast to most of the existing contracts
that are contingent on realized inflation rates which are in turn contingent on
production shocks, like the standard reputation model, a central banker in our hybrid
mechanism is punished only when she uses a surprise inflation rate. Since the penalty
proposed is the lowest one that discourages the central bank from attempting to
cheat and the sum of the loss, reputation forces, and the penalty for the central
bank to cheat is the same as the loss at the socially optimal inflation rate, our
hybrid mechanism is the most efficient and robust mechanism that implement the socially
optimal monetary policy rule. We also provide a upper bound of the penalty that
is be lower than that of the existing contracts when realized inflation rate is
greater than a certain level.
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Click 0311 to view the paper in pdf format.
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| 0312 |
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Implementation of Pareto Efficient Allocations
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Guoqiang Tian
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
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This paper considers implementation and double implementation of Pareto efficient
allocations for production economies by using the generalized mechanism approach.
We allow production sets, preferences and individual endowments are all unknown
to the planner. We present a well-behaved generalized mechanism that fully implements
constrained price equilibrium allocations with transfers, and consequently, fully
implement Pareto efficient allocations in social equilibrium. The mechanism then
is modified to fully doubly implement Pareto efficient allocations in social and
strong social equilibria. The mechanisms constructed in the paper have many nice
properties such as feasibility, continuity, forthrightness, and best response. In
addition, they use finite-dimensional message spaces. Furthermore, the mechanisms
work not only for three or more agents, but also for two-agent economies.
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Click 0312 to view the paper in pdf format.
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| 0313 |
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A Panel Data Study of Physicians' Labor Supply: The Case of Norway
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Badi Baltagi
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
Espen Bratberg
Department of Economics
University of Bergen
Tor Helge Holmas
Programme for Health Economics in Bergen
University of Bergen
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Physicians are key personnel in a sector which is important due to its size as well
as the quality of service it provides. We estimate the labor supply of physicians
employed at hospitals in Norway, using personnel register data merged with other
public records. A dynamic labor supply equation is estimated using a sample of 1303
male physicians observed over the period 1993-97. The methods of estimation are
GMM and system GMM. We reject the static model in favor of a dynamic model and obtain
short run wage elasticities around 0.3. This is higher than previously
estimated for physicians, in particular for those who are not self-employed.
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Published in Health Economics, 2005
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| 0314 |
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How Is Corporate Misconduct Penalized? Enforcement Actions through the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act
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Scott Lee
Private Enterprise Research Center
Department of Finance
Texas A&M University
Jonathan M. Karpoff
University of Washington
Arvind Mahajan
Department of Finance
Texas A&M University
Gerald S. Martin
Department of Finance
Texas A&M University
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As its name implies, the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act of 1977 (FCPA) outlaws bribery
of foreign officials by U.S. corporations. Less known, however, are the broad powers
that the FCPA grants to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for disciplining
accounting misrepresentations by firms that list their securities in the United
States. We find that the SEC uses its FCPA-related powers frequently, bringing 604
enforcement actions against publicly-traded corporations from the Act's inception
through 2002. Only 7% of these actions relate to foreign bribery, and bribery-related
enforcement actions typically carry small penalties. In contrast, accounting-related
actions are both common and heavily penalized. Firms and individuals have been fined
a total of $12.1 billion, and 66 managers have received jail sentences. These legal
penalties are positively related to measures of the size and severity of the violations.
The market imposes the largest monetary penalties for FCPA-related accounting violations.
The initial announcement of an FCPA-related accounting enforcement action is associated
with a mean abnormal return of –10.3% for the defendant firm. This augments a 20.1%
loss
in share value that accompanies prior events — such as unforeseen executive turnover
or asset write-downs — that trigger the SEC's FCPA-related investigation.
Nearly half of these losses can be attributed to impaired operations or lost reputation
from the misrepresentations. This evidence belies a widespread view that corporate
misdeeds are disciplined lightly. To the contrary, legal and market penalties can
be substantial. Furthermore, such penalties are not applied indiscriminately, as
both legal and market penalties are related to the harms imposed by the violations.
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Click 0314 to view the paper in pdf format.
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